The guys bring you another two LOCKS for Week 4. Last Week the guys were 1-1 missing the Lions by 1/2 a point but nailing the over in the Jets/Raiders game. This week, the guys are not putting in a parlay, but they have another two locks to play.
Buffalo at Cincinnati
Line: Buffalo -3
The Bills showed last week that they are for real after coming back from a 21 point deficit to beat the New England Patriots. This week they go on the road to face a Bengals team that has struggled to put points on the board. Look for Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bills offense to take an early lead and for the Bills defense to hold off the Bengals offense.
Other trends to help with this pick:
The Bills are 3-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 games as a road favorite and the Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Bengals in Cincinnati.
Miami at San Diego
Line: over/under 45.5
Both of the teams are struggling offensively coming into this game and the line is a bit high. The Dolphins are averaging 17.7 points per game while the Chargers are averaging 21.7 per game so together these two teams are a touchdown under the over/under line. We expect the Dolphins offensive struggles to continue while the Chargers will do just enough to win the game. Plus Chargers QB Phillip Rivers is nursing an undisclosed injury he suffered against the Chiefs, and he will once again be without TE Antonio Gates. Chargers 24-17.
Other trends to help with this pick:
We look for these four streaks to continue in San Diego. The Under is 6-0 in the Chargers last 6 games as a home favorite plus the Under is 6-0 in the Chargers last 6 home games, period. Meanwhile the Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in San Digeo and the Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.
LOCK 1: Buffalo -3 (150 units)
LOCK 2: MIA/SD UNDER 45.5 (200 units)
Season Total: 800 units (-200 for the season)
Enjoyed myself so much last Sunday that I thought I`d have another flutter this week. However, I`m only looking at the early games that I can catch live (via NFL Game Pass) – as we Brits need to get some sleep before work on Monday!
I`ll be watching my team (Steelers) at Houston. I like Steve`s reasoning (“Kings of the Pool”) and I`ve got them for a win at 17/10 but it`s only a token amount (enough to add zest to my viewing) as I`m nervous about the Texans after that Saints game last week. I just hope a) Mendenhall and Redman show up for work, and b) the Offensive Line are patched up.
I`ll also be keeping tabs on the Bills who I have to win at 10/17. I think the Bills have this game in the bag (as reflected in the price) so I`ve gone a little bigger here. I also have Fitzpatrick and Johnson on my Fantasy team – which badly needs a win – so I`m hoping for a huge score by Buffalo.
I`m only betting for fun (and only as much as I`m prepared to lose) so good luck to everyone else who`s placing a wager!
Locked in!
Though, slightly concerned by prospect of Chargers having a blow out at some point. And Dolphins in San Diego seem as likely as any! And, O/U is 44.5 in the UK.
Oh well. Double failure, but they were both interesting games. Hopefully Pittsburgh will get some protection for Ben before he gets killed.